Assessing the Level of Concern for Mpox: What You Need to Know

Getty Images Clade 1b has spread in eastern DR Congo since 2023, and now to neighbouring countries previously unaffected by mpox

A New Worldwide Threat to Public Health: Mpox’s Proliferation
A worldwide emergency has been declared by the World Health Organization (WHO) due to the recent spike in cases of mpox, which was previously known as monkeypox. The appearance of a new viral strain has caused serious worries over its transmissibility, severity, and possible impact on a global scale, leading to its identification.

Gaining Insight on the Present Mpox Epidemics
Three separate outbreaks of mpox are happening at the same time, each impacting different communities and showing their specific traits. These epidemics can be grouped into three distinct clades, or branches, of the mpox virus family.

The first subgroup, known as Clade 1a, has been infecting people in the DRC for more than ten years, mostly in the northern and western regions. The most common way for the disease to spread is through eating bushmeat or animals that are affected. Children are particularly vulnerable to contracting the virus because infected people can spread it through close contact.

In the eastern DRC and surrounding countries, a novel clade known as Clade 1b has just broken out. The primary mode of transmission is sexual interaction along transportation routes, especially among sex workers. This particular strain has also been related to miscarriages and transfers from parents to children.

Clade 2: In 2022, the world took notice of the epidemic linked to Clade 2. Those in the gay, bisexual, and MSM (men who have sexual relations with men) community and those closely associated with them were the most hit. Despite a temporary downturn, this epidemic is far from over.

How Mpox Has Evolved and What It Means
As part of its declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, the World Health Organization has singled out Clade 1b. The mpox virus has spread to Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, and Uganda, among other nations that were previously unaffected. Clade 1b most likely started in the gold-mining city of Kamituga, South Kivu, around September 2023, according to a genetic study.

Reuters
Smallpox vaccines can also protect against mpox

According to Leandre Murhula Masirika, a research coordinator in South Kivu’s health department, the sex industry has played a major role in the virus’s development in this region. Truck drivers’ mobility and the exploitation of sex workers speed up the spread of the outbreak, which can be further transmitted from parents to children and between children, and it can even cause miscarriages.

Clade 1b presents itself in a very different way from Clade 1a. In contrast to Clade 1a, which is transmitted through bushmeat, Clade 1b is characterized by a more severe rash, a longer illness duration, and an increased emphasis on sexual transmission.

Crucial Issues and Uncertainties
A number of important questions are still unresolved despite the worrying developments. There has been no definitive proof that the new strain is more contagious due to genetic alterations, so we don’t yet know how easily it can spread. Though sexual networks may hasten epidemics, this does not prove that the virus is inherently more contagious.

On top of that, there is a lack of data on the fatality rate associated with the present epidemics. Due to individuals preferring traditional cures over medical therapy, some fatalities go unrecorded. Uncertainty surrounding the precise number of infections further hampers attempts to gauge the genuine extent of the outbreaks’ impact.

Clade 1 infections have historically resulted in a mortality rate of up to 10%, suggesting that these epidemics have been more deadly than Clade 2 ones. Having said that, this number might not be really relevant here. Malnutrition, untreated HIV, and inadequate healthcare access are additional factors that contribute to high mortality rates.

Looking Ahead: Historical Insights for the Future
Over 500 deaths have been reported this year because to the mpox crisis in the DRC. The issue of controlling the outbreak is made worse by the ongoing conflict in eastern DRC, which is home to various rebel groups. Oxford University expert Professor Trudi Lang compares the present mpox pandemic to the early stages of the HIV epidemic. Both include vulnerable children and exploited sex workers, and they are both made worse by transportation routes and socioeconomic conditions.

A thorough and well-coordinated response is necessary to tackle the mpox epidemics successfully. Among these measures, we must address the socioeconomic conditions that fuel the virus’s transmission and work to improve healthcare access and surveillance. In order to stop this worldwide health crisis from getting worse, the international community has to be on high alert.

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